I did some analysis of the incremental cost of home EV charging. I posted earlier results in other threads, but I think this one is more appropriate for the comparison between the two homes. In order to make it simple for people, these two cases do not involve solar and are based on real PG&E data from my relatives' homes. All EV charging is assumed to take place in the Off-Peak time window of 11pm-7am.
The first case is a detached single story townhouse in Cupertino - 2BR 2BA ~1700sf which is occupied by a retired couple. This is what I consider to be a small home and their average electric usage is about 425kWh/month with only December and January over 500kWh.
Choosing the best rate plan, Schedule EV, would result in an increase of about $60 per month to the electric bill at the townhouse. This comes to approximately 6 cents per mile. Staying on the same rate plan that most people use, E-1, would result in a bill increase of more than $120 per month, doubling the incremental cost of EV charging.
The second case is a single family home in Los Altos with 5BR 4.5BA ~4,800sf in two stories. A family of 4 including two elementary school children lives there. The average usage is about 700kWh/month for most of the year, with Nov-Jan over 800kWh and peaking at just over 1,000kWh in December.
You can see that the average monthly bill without an EV is MUCH larger for the larger home. This is primarily due to the tiered rate system that penalizes high usage. The larger house is already paying over $160/mo for electricity, so adding EV charging and using a non-tiered rate adds less than $25/mo to the bill. That's only 2.5 cents per mile!
The details of the Townhouse analysis can be found in a PDF
here. That PDF contains the actual usage and the projected usage with EV charging calculated on E-1, E-6, E-9A, EV month by month.
The single family analysis can be found in a PDF
here. The spreadsheet that I used to do these calculations is
here. It uses SmartMeter data downloaded from PG&E to do all the calculations. Rates in the Excel workbook are from the Tariffs effective 5/1/2014.